Forecast, odds, pick for the match Jannik Sinner vs. Jack Draper at US Open – 06.09.2024

Jannik Sinner battles Jack Draper. Our US Open odds the series has our Sinner Draper Prediction and Pick. Find out how to watch Sinner Draper.

What a wild and crazy US Open. All hell broke loose, except for two players. One of them is Jannik Sinner.

In the quarterfinals, Sinner and Aryna Sabalenka held firm and repelled all opponents. No other player seeded in the top five of the men's or women's tournament managed to reach the semifinals.

Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic failed to reach the fourth round in the men's section. Coco Gauff and Iga Swiatek failed to reach the semifinals in the women's section. It has been a chaotic and very volatile tournament for the most part, but Sinner and Sabalenka – through five matches – have proven to be the exceptions. We'll see what happens to Sabalenka on Thursday night in her semifinal match. Then on Friday, midday, we'll see Sinner take to the court against Britain's Jack Draper, playing in her first major semifinal.

Sinner couldn’t have asked for a better outcome at the US Open. Imagine telling Sinner before the tournament began in late August that he would be in the semifinals, and that his path to the title would take him past Jack Draper in the semis and then Taylor Fritz or Frances Tiafoe in the final. Sinner, if given that scenario, would sign in a heartbeat. He is the overwhelming favorite to win this match, and he is the overwhelming favorite to win the championship. Not lifting the trophy on Sunday would be a significant disappointment, although Sinner needs to get through Friday before he can think about Sunday. We who commentate and make predictions can sit here in our living rooms and say that Sinner is the clear favorite, but those assessments mean nothing to the players. They need to get out there and do their thing. All eyes are on Jannik Sinner to see if he can handle the pressure of being the man everyone expects to win this tournament.

Here is Janik Sinner-Jack Draper US Open Odds, provided by FanDuel.

US Open Odds: Jannik Sinner vs. Jack Draper

Game distribution:

Sinner -6.5: -112
Draper: +6.5: -120

Money line:

Sinner: -600
Draper: +430

To win the first set:

Sinner: -300
Draper: +225

Total games in the match

Over 35.5: -112
Less than 35.5: -118

Total games won:

Sinner for 19.5 games: -124
Sinner under 19.5 games: -108

Draper in 15.5 games: -110
Draper under 15.5 games: -120

How to Watch the US Open

Time: 3:15 PM ET/12:15 PM PT

TV: ESPN, ESPN Plus

Broadcast: (Free Trial)

Why Jannik Sinner Could Cover the Spread

The fourth-round win over Tommy Paul and the quarterfinal win over Daniil Medvedev showed that Sinner can handle high-pressure situations and deal with problems when things don’t go his way during the 20-minute stretch of play in this match. Sinner was down 4-1 in the first set to Paul on Monday. He lost the second set 6-1 to Medvedev on Wednesday and was down two break points at 2-3 in the fourth set. Sinner has struggled with these various tough moments. If Draper gets the better of him in the 15- or 20-minute stretch, Sinner will regroup and make adjustments. Great players do that. Sinner is a great player right now. Facing Draper, a first-time major semifinalist, should give Sinner the confidence to handle the match the way he needs to. Draper might get nervous and not play at his best.

Why Jack Draper Might Cover Up Spread

The spread for this match is 6.5 games. Draper can lose all three sets, but if those sets are decided by two games or less, Draper will still cover the spread. A 6-4, 7-5, 6-4 win for Sinner means Draper will cover.

Jannik Sinner-Jack Draper Final Prediction and Pick

This isn't a great matchup to bet on. Sinner is likely to win outright, but Draper can keep the match close in terms of the spread. There are some combinations to bet on, but they feel like risky plays rather than high-stakes plays.

Jannik Sinner-Jack Draper Final Prediction and Pick: Draper +6.5 Games